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The News Drill > Blog > Defence > India Fighter Jet Crisis: Airpower Gap with China & Pakistan
Defence

India Fighter Jet Crisis: Airpower Gap with China & Pakistan

Two Front War Reality Check: India’s Fighter Strength in Perspective.

Parihar Himanshu Singh
Last updated: August 24, 2025 2:00 AM
By
Parihar Himanshu Singh
ByParihar Himanshu Singh
Founder & Editor-in-Chief
Himanshu Singh Parihar is the Founder & Editor-in-Chief of The News Drill, an Indian digital news platform committed to factual, unbiased reporting and challenging false narratives....
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Section
1 - Current Squadron Strength vs. Requirement
1 - Current Squadron Strength vs. Requirement
2 - Aging Fleet and Retirement Trends
3 - Delays in Indigenous Modernization Programs
4 - MRFA (114 Multi Role Fighters) Program
5 - Budget and Procurement Bottlenecks
6 - Chinese Air Power: Edge in Numbers and Technology
7 - Pakistan’s Air Force: Modernization Drive
8 - Regional Air Forces: Bangladesh, Myanmar, Sri Lanka
9 - Indigenous Initiatives: Make in India Air Power
10 - Two Front War Risks
11 - Outlook to 2030: Trends and Projections
12 - Strategic Recommendations and Government Initiatives
Indian fighter jet crisis against with China and Pakistan map highlighting airpower imbalance

New Delhi – India’s air combat power is under strain. The Indian Air Force (IAF) currently fields only about 30 combat squadrons (roughly 520–550 fighters) against a doctrinal requirement of 42–45. This is the lowest strength in decades. It’s for India fighter jet crisis and it may create severe problem. By contrast, China’s People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) has around 2,000 fighter aircraft (50+ squadrons, including advanced J-20 stealth fighters), and Pakistan’s Air Force fields roughly 25 squadrons (450–500 aircraft, including F-16s and JF-17s). Widely cited estimates warn that by late 2025 India’s strength may dip to 29 squadrons, barely edging Pakistan’s count. This shortfall has serious national security implications: the IAF’s leadership publicly acknowledges it cannot sustain a full two front air campaign with current numbers.

Current Squadron Strength vs. Requirement

The Indian government long ago sanctioned a target of 42 fighter squadrons (the Thirteenth Plan even envisaged 45 by 2027). In reality, the IAF today maintains only about 30 active squadrons. (A typical Indian squadron fields 16–20 jets.) Even on paper this leaves roughly 12 fewer squadrons than mandated; in practice the shortfall is deeper because many aging jets are cannibalized or “number-plated” (kept only administratively active). IAF chiefs have repeatedly stressed that without reaching at least the 42 squadron mark, the force will struggle to simultaneously guard borders with Pakistan and China. As Air Chief Marshal B.S. Dhanoa warned in 2018, “numbers were not adequate to execute a full air campaign in a two-front scenario.”

Comparatively, China’s PLAAF is vastly larger. Estimates put China at roughly 3,000 total aircraft with about 1,975 fighters. Even discounting older types, China fields 50+ fighter squadrons, many equipped with modern 4th/5th-generation jets (Su-30/MK2, J-10, J-11, and now J-20 stealth fighters).

Pakistan, India’s other primary adversary, has roughly 25 squadrons (450–500 fighters). Pakistan’s fleet includes MiG-era Mirages, 80+ modern F-16s (Block 15/52 variants), and over 130 JF-17 “Thunder” jets developed with China. India’s current numerical disadvantage with barely more jets than Pakistan and far fewer than China is often highlighted by analysts as a looming crisis.

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ByParihar Himanshu Singh
Founder & Editor-in-Chief
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Himanshu Singh Parihar is the Founder & Editor-in-Chief of The News Drill, an Indian digital news platform committed to factual, unbiased reporting and challenging false narratives. A CA Intermediate student and B.Com graduate, he is currently pursuing a Master of Commerce to strengthen his expertise in accounting, finance, and regulatory affairs. Himanshu has been actively involved in journalism, digital publishing, and SEO driven content strategy since 2020, building platforms like The News Drill and Tools Mitra. His reporting and editorial oversight emphasize accuracy, credible sourcing, and clear context. He has a strong interest in geopolitics, factual awareness, and tracking global and national developments — including underreported stories often overlooked by mainstream media. Beyond publishing, he is an investor in domestic, foreign, and crypto markets since 2022, giving him practical insights into economic and financial reporting. He also serves as General Secretary at GACC and maintains a strong interest in technology, AI, and public policy.
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