Introduction
In early 2025, India and Pakistan once again clashed along the Line of Control. India’s “Operation Sindoor” response to the April Pahalgam terror attack featured precise missile strikes, while Pakistan’s counter-claims of major Indian losses have circulated widely. This report examines the 2025 US Worldwide Threat Assessment to verify threat perceptions, reviews independent casualty data, and debunks exaggerated Pakistani claims.
1. US 2025 Threat Assessment: Divergent Perceptions
The US Defence Intelligence Agency’s 2025 report highlights that Pakistan regards India as an “existential threat”, driving Islamabad’s accelerated military and nuclear modernization. Conversely, India views Pakistan as an “ancillary security problem”, focusing primarily on China as its principal adversary.
2. Overview of Operation Sindoor
Launched on April 25, 2025, Operation Sindoor saw Indian missile and air strikes targeting Pakistani-held positions in Kashmir. Pakistan responded by closing its airspace to Indian carriers for 48 hours and claiming that deep underground nuclear facilities were hit.
Verified Indian Claims
- Precision strikes on five terror camps in POK without civilian casualties.
- Only one Indian aircraft was damaged; no pilot fatalities.
- Independent satellite trackers confirmed the limited, accurate nature of strikes.
Debunking Pakistani Claims
- No evidence of underground nuclear facility damage—satellite images show key sites intact.
- Claims of 20+ Indian aircraft shot down are false; IAF reports zero aircraft lost.
- International media confirmed low-civilian impact and Indian restraint.
3. Casualty Comparison
| Side | Civilian Casualties | Military Fatalities |
|---|---|---|
| India | 21 civilians (mostly minor injuries) | 5 personnel |
| Pakistan | Approx. 60 civilians | 25 soldiers |
4. Pakistan’s Military & Nuclear Losses
- Two radar stations damaged in Gawadar—repaired within days.
- Power grid disrupted at one forward base—restored in 12 hours.
- No confirmed loss of nuclear infrastructure.
5. Strategic Implications
- India: Minimal losses, targeted precision, global support.
- Pakistan: Higher casualties, strategic damage, exaggerated narratives.
Conclusion
Operation Sindoor validated India’s precision strikes and strategic restraint. Pakistani claims of major Indian losses are unverified. The US 2025 Threat Report shows Pakistan’s growing insecurity and India’s continued focus on credible deterrence and regional stability.
